TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Science and Technology
Top Text to Video AI this week
kalshi

Top Text to Video AI this week

Volume:
$818

Alibaba

 - Kalshi

Alibaba - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 10:00 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alibaba

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
$102
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Google

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$348
N/A
N/A
$248
Settled
No
kalshi

MiniMax

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
$150
Settled
No
kalshi

Vidu

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
Settled
No
kalshi

ByteDance

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

KlingAI

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Skywork AI

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

SpaceXAI

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lightricks

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

PixVerse

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks which artificial intelligence model achieves the highest ranking in text-to-video generation by a specific date. It reflects the competitive landscape of AI development where companies strive to produce the most advanced technology for converting textual descriptions into high-quality video content. The outcome depends on the performance metrics set by an independent evaluation platform.

Kalshi

The event determines the leading text-to-video AI model as ranked on the Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on September 4, 2026, at 10:00am ET. Each market corresponds to a specific AI developer, and the market resolves to Yes if that developer’s model holds the #1 position. If multiple models tie for the top rank, the publisher’s official tie-breaking methodology applies; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank, and contracts for those entities will resolve to $1 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down. The event is unaffiliated with any governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the top text-to-video AI market dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for the outcome of the top text-to-video AI market, along with 24-hour volume of $2. It provides a real-time view of trader sentiment and market dynamics as participants bet on which AI solution will lead the industry this week.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced assessment of likelihood. While analysts may weigh long-term potential and company fundamentals, traders in this market react quickly to news, product releases, and user adoption trends. This can lead to sharper shifts in odds following major announcements or performance updates.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The result will be based on widely recognized industry benchmarks or announcements identifying the leading text-to-video AI solution for the week, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Key signals that could shift odds in this market include major product announcements, significant user growth reports, funding rounds, or public comparisons from influential tech reviewers. Any surprise performance metrics or partnerships could also cause rapid repricing as traders adjust their bets based on new information about which AI stands out.