TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

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Kalshi:

61%

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Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
kalshi

Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th

Volume:
$56,800

Alibaba

 - Kalshi

Alibaba - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alibaba

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,926
N/A
N/A
$5,927
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tencent

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,365
N/A
N/A
$9,110
Settled
No
kalshi

ByteDance

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,844
N/A
N/A
$6,394
Settled
No
kalshi

DeepSeek

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,497
N/A
N/A
$2,652
Settled
No
kalshi

Xiaomi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,284
N/A
N/A
$6,059
Settled
No
kalshi

Moonshot

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,775
N/A
N/A
$3,595
Settled
No
kalshi

Z.ai

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,312
N/A
N/A
$2,728
Settled
No
kalshi

Baidu

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,536
N/A
N/A
$2,891
Settled
No
kalshi

MiniMax

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,260
N/A
N/A
$3,260
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the competitive performance of leading Chinese AI firms by evaluating which company's model achieves the highest ranking in a specific text generation benchmark on a set date. The outcome reflects the relative capabilities of these technology firms in natural language processing at that moment.

Kalshi

The event determines which qualifying Chinese AI company achieves the highest ranking for its model on the Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) benchmark on September 14, 2026, at 10:00am ET. Qualifying companies must have their global or primary operational headquarters in mainland China. If multiple companies tie for the highest rank, the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology applies; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank. In such cases, contracts for all tied entities resolve to $1 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down. The exchange disclaims any affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks, logos, and brand names.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Chinese AI leader market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the top company in China’s AI sector as of the week of September 7th. It shows current probabilities, recent price movements, and 24-hour volume of $292. This single-venue view updates continuously, letting you monitor how traders on Kalshi value each contender in the short_topic.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is the company most widely recognized as China’s top AI leader for that week, based on authoritative news outlets and industry analyses. No complex criteria or internal judgments are involved — the result follows standard public verification.

Major signals include quarterly earnings reports, new product launches, government policy shifts, or high-profile partnerships involving leading Chinese AI firms. Any announcement that reshapes market perception — such as a breakthrough in generative AI or a regulatory change — could quickly shift this market. Traders on Kalshi will react to headlines, investor sentiment, and analyst updates in the run-up to Sep 14, 2026.