TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Top Chinese AI Company week of July 27th
kalshi

Top Chinese AI Company week of July 27th

Volume:
$58,847

Alibaba

 - Kalshi

Alibaba - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alibaba

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,775
N/A
N/A
$5,735
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tencent

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,590
N/A
N/A
$11,847
Settled
No
kalshi

Baidu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,172
N/A
N/A
$4,512
Settled
No
kalshi

DeepSeek

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,019
N/A
N/A
$3,703
Settled
No
kalshi

Xiaomi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,872
N/A
N/A
$2,574
Settled
No
kalshi

Moonshot

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,194
N/A
N/A
$3,012
Settled
No
kalshi

ByteDance

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,861
N/A
N/A
$4,645
Settled
No
kalshi

Z.ai

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,225
N/A
N/A
$1,989
Settled
No
kalshi

MiniMax

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,138
N/A
N/A
$1,751
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the competitive standing of major Chinese AI firms by evaluating their language models' performance in a standardized text generation test. The outcome depends on which company's model achieves the top position in a public benchmarking platform at a specific future date and time.

Kalshi

The event determines whether any of the specified Chinese AI companies holds the highest-ranked model on the Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) benchmark as measured on August 3, 2026, at 10:00am ET. Each market corresponds to a specific company, resolving to 'Yes' only if that particular company achieves the top rank. Companies qualifying for evaluation must maintain their global or primary operational headquarters in mainland China. In cases where multiple models share the highest rank due to tied scores, the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology applies; if no such methodology exists, all tied entities are considered to share the highest rank. For any tied outcomes, contracts for all involved parties resolve to $1 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any formal affiliation with the governing league or rights to associated trademarks, logos, or brand names.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the top Chinese AI company market dashboard displays the current odds for which firm will lead in artificial intelligence innovation for the week of July 27th. It shows price history, the top outcome’s probability, and 24-hour volume of $4,039. This real-time view lets traders monitor sentiment and liquidity in the short_topic as bets evolve.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market’s odds often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may weigh long-term metrics, traders on Kalshi price in recent developments, news cycles, and short-term performance indicators. This can create divergence, especially when rapid breakthroughs or policy shifts occur in the weeks before resolution.

This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be the Chinese AI company recognized as top for the week of July 27th based on widely accepted industry metrics, announcements, and analyst consensus at that time.

Key signals include major product launches, regulatory announcements, partnership news, or significant investment rounds by leading Chinese AI firms. Performance metrics from recent trials, industry awards, or high-profile media coverage could also shift trader sentiment. Any surprise leadership changes or technological breakthroughs will likely cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as the market approaches its closing date.