TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Top Chinese AI Company week of August 10th
kalshi

Top Chinese AI Company week of August 10th

Volume:
$34,546

Alibaba

 - Kalshi

Alibaba - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Closed: Aug 17, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alibaba

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,432
N/A
N/A
$2,230
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tencent

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,682
N/A
N/A
$2,328
Settled
No
kalshi

MiniMax

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,447
N/A
N/A
$3,308
Settled
No
kalshi

DeepSeek

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,264
N/A
N/A
$1,927
Settled
No
kalshi

Xiaomi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,221
N/A
N/A
$2,161
Settled
No
kalshi

Moonshot

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,244
N/A
N/A
$701
Settled
No
kalshi

Baidu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,055
N/A
N/A
$994
Settled
No
kalshi

Z.ai

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$833
N/A
N/A
$635
Settled
No
kalshi

ByteDance

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$366
N/A
N/A
$337
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event determines which major Chinese AI company will lead in text generation performance on a specific evaluation platform by a set date. The outcome depends on comparative scoring metrics for AI models developed by these firms.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether any of the specified Chinese AI companies achieves the highest ranking for its AI model on the Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) evaluation on August 17, 2026, at 10:00am ET. Each market corresponds to a specific company, resolving to Yes if that company’s model attains the top position. Only companies with global or primary operational headquarters in mainland China qualify. If multiple models tie for the highest rank, the publisher’s official tie-breaking methodology applies; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank, and each tied contract resolves to $1 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down. The event is independent of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be the company most widely recognized as China’s top AI player for the week of August 10th, based on authoritative news sources and industry recognition at that time.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 17, 2026. Major product announcements, regulatory updates from Chinese authorities, executive departures or hires at leading firms, and significant investment rounds all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, high-impact industry events such as conferences or government policy statements may cause rapid repricing, especially if they clearly favor or challenge the current frontrunner’s position.