TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Science and Technology
Top AI model this week?
kalshi

Top AI model this week?

Volume:
$691,727

claude-opus-4-6

 - Kalshi

claude-opus-4-6 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 7, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

claude-opus-4-6

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$234,574
N/A
N/A
$207,338
Settled
Yes
kalshi

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$312,684
N/A
N/A
$301,596
Settled
No
kalshi

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130,326
N/A
N/A
$124,167
Settled
No
kalshi

gpt-5.2-chat-latest-20260210

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,746
N/A
N/A
$4,746
Settled
No
kalshi

grok-4.20-beta1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,336
N/A
N/A
$3,336
Settled
No
kalshi

gemini-3-pro

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,624
N/A
N/A
$2,624
Settled
No
kalshi

kimi-k2.5-thinking

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,284
N/A
N/A
$1,284
Settled
No
kalshi

gemini-3-flash

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,181
N/A
N/A
$1,181
Settled
No
kalshi

dola-seed-2.0-preview

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$698
N/A
N/A
$698
Settled
No
kalshi

ernie-5.0-0110

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$274
N/A
N/A
$274
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event determines which AI model will rank as the top-performing model on a standardized benchmark on March 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. The resolution is based on identifying the leading AI model from a set of recently developed systems across different organizations at that specific date and time.