TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Top 3 AI companies on Sep 12, 2026?
kalshi

Top 3 AI companies on Sep 12, 2026?

Volume:
$1,293

Tencent

 - Kalshi

Tencent - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tencent

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$851
N/A
N/A
$321
Settled
Yes
kalshi

DeepSeek

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$115
N/A
N/A
$115
Settled
Yes
kalshi

OpenAI

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$115
N/A
N/A
$115
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Z.ai

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
$72
Settled
No
kalshi

Google

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

Meta

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

Anthropic

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

Alibaba

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

xAI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

Mistral AI

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

Xiaomi

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

NVIDIA

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

MiniMax

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Moonshot AI

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Upstage

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event tracks whether specific AI companies appear in the top three positions on OpenRouter's leaderboard by a set date. The leaderboard ranks companies based on tokens processed, with each company counted only once regardless of multiple appearances. The outcome depends solely on the leaderboard's ranking at the specified time.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on whether the specified company appears among the top three distinct AI companies listed on OpenRouter's "Top models today" leaderboard at 10:00 AM ET on September 13, 2026. The leaderboard ranks models by the number of tokens processed over the most recent complete day. Kalshi will determine the top three distinct companies by reading the leaderboard from rank 1 downward, counting each company only at its first appearance, and continuing until three distinct companies are identified. If a company is among these three, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Trading closes at 11:59 PM ET on September 12, 2026. Tied rankings are resolved using OpenRouter's official tie-breaking methodology. If no such methodology exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them, and contracts for tied candidates resolve to $1 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated with OpenRouter, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.