TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
polymarket

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?

Volume:
$24,482

Moonshot

 - Polymarket

Moonshot - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 2:16 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Moonshot

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,613
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

OpenAI

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,071
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Z.ai

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,233
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mistral

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alibaba

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,262
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Anthropic

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,177
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Xiaomi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,107
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

DeepSeek

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$999
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

MiniMax

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$868
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SpaceXAI

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$859
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Baidu

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$699
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Meituan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$580
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Meta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$504
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Amazon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$477
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

ByteDance

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$465
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Google

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$462
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nvidia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$401
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Microsoft

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$385
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company A

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company B

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company C

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company D

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company E

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company F

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 32

Description

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the AI Agent Lab rankings market, along with real-time 24-hour volume of $890. It shows how traders are positioning around the likelihood of different outcomes, giving you a snapshot of market sentiment and activity as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final AI Agent Lab rankings are verifiable from credible public reporting. The third position will be determined by the official end-of-August rankings published by the lab, and the market will close based on that verified result.

Several key developments could shift this market before Sep 1, 2026. Major product releases, strategic partnerships, or published benchmark studies from the AI Agent Lab will directly influence trader sentiment. Negative security incidents or leadership changes at competing labs might also reshape expectations. As Sep 1, 2026 approaches, real-time trading activity on Polymarket will amplify price swings, especially following any widely covered demo or industry analyst report that re-evaluates lab capabilities. Stay alert for surprise announcements or third-party validation that could dramatically alter the odds.