TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 4:41 PM EST
Kalshi
Comparable restaurant sales measure the revenue change of a company's existing locations after adjusting for inflation and new openings, offering insight into core operational efficiency and customer demand trends.
The event resolves based on The Cheesecake Factory's reported comparable restaurant sales growth for Q3 2026. Multiple outcome thresholds are defined, each specifying a different percentage increase above which the corresponding market would resolve to Yes. All thresholds are evaluated against the same official comparable sales report released by The Cheesecake Factory for the specified quarter. Kalshi emphasizes it maintains no official connection to the company, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate a range of financial metrics and guidance, traders on Kalshi react quickly to news, earnings whispers, and macro trends. This can lead to divergence, where market prices either align closely with consensus estimates or drift based on real-time sentiment and betting patterns.
This market resolves around Feb 24, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final sales figure will be drawn from official company disclosures or reputable financial data providers, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants on Kalshi.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including quarterly earnings reports, same-store sales updates, broader economic indicators like consumer confidence, and any major corporate announcements such as menu changes or marketing campaigns. Unexpected events, such as supply chain disruptions or sector-wide trends, may also cause rapid price swings as traders reassess expectations on Kalshi.