TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Financials
Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Oct 5 at ___?
polymarket

How will Tesla close the week of Oct 5?

Volume:
$1,622

$380-$385

 - Polymarket

$380-$385 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 6:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$380-$385

View
100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$385-$390

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$759
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$370-$375

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$454
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$355-$360

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$350

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$350-$355

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$360-$365

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$365-$370

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$390-$395

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$395

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$375-$380

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for this market tracks the current implied probability of different price ranges for the Tesla stock closing price during the week of October 5th. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $1,168. The total volume traded on this market is $1,622, indicating the level of interest from traders. This allows you to quickly assess market sentiment and potential price movements.

Currently, the collective prediction from this market offers a unique perspective when compared to traditional analyst forecasts for Tesla. While analysts often provide price targets based on fundamental and technical analysis, this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and potential events. Discrepancies between the market’s implied probability and analyst expectations can highlight areas of disagreement or overlooked factors influencing the Tesla stock closing price. It’s a valuable data point to consider alongside conventional financial analysis.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The closing price of Tesla (TSLA) stock on the final day of trading during the week of October 5th will be used to determine the winning outcome. This price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider and will be the definitive factor in settling this market. Traders should monitor news and market data leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential price movements.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Major news events related to Tesla, such as earnings reports, product announcements (like updates on the Cybertruck or AI developments), or changes in regulatory policies, could all cause substantial price swings. Broader economic indicators, like inflation data or interest rate decisions, and overall market sentiment towards growth stocks can also play a role. Unexpected events, such as supply chain disruptions or significant competitor actions, could also move this market, impacting the perceived probability of different closing price ranges.