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Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Oct 26 at ___?
polymarket

How will Tesla close the week of Oct 26?

Volume:
$575

>$395

 - Polymarket

>$395 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 5:10 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

>$395

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$390-$395

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$350-$355

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$355-$360

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$360-$365

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$365-$370

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$370-$375

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$375-$380

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$380-$385

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$350

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$385-$390

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for this market tracks the current implied probability of various price ranges for the Tesla stock closing price at the end of the week of October 26. You'll find a visual representation of the odds, a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $430. The total volume traded on this market is $575, indicating the level of interest and activity from traders predicting the final price.

Currently, the collective prediction on Polymarket suggests a high probability of the Tesla stock closing within a specific price range. This differs from traditional analyst forecasts, which often rely on fundamental analysis and financial modeling. While analysts provide price targets based on company performance and market trends, this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a broader range of information and potential events. It's valuable to compare the two approaches to gain a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential closing prices for the Tesla stock. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that specific price range occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular price range is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official closing price of Tesla (TSLA) stock as reported by a major financial exchange at the end of the trading day on the final day of the week of October 26. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the closing price range.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding Tesla's production numbers, vehicle deliveries, or financial performance would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader market trends, such as overall economic conditions or shifts in investor sentiment towards electric vehicle stocks, could also play a role. Unexpected announcements from competitors, regulatory changes, or even comments from Elon Musk could all influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market.