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$154.8b

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$260,393,102

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,894,304,386

408,643

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39,771

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4,493

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Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Nov 2 at ___?
polymarket

What will TSLA close at on Nov 6?

Oct 30, 2026, 6:00 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$2
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$10,069
188%
Open interest:
$2N/A

<$375

 - Polymarket

<$375 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:14h:02m

Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$375 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?

12%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 16¢ buys you 625 shares | Odds: 12% Total Payout: $625 | Net Profit: $525 Multiplier: 6.25x | ROI: 525% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<$375

Trade
12%
Yes 16¢No 92¢
8¢
$835
$2
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 2m
Active
polymarket

$375-$380

11%
27%
Yes 19.5¢No 97.7¢
17.2¢
$1,195
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 2m
Active
polymarket

$380-$385

7%
41%
Yes 10¢No 96¢
6¢
$394
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 2m
Active
polymarket

$385-$390

9%
Yes 12¢No 95¢
7¢
$448
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 2m
Active
polymarket

$390-$395

9%
Yes 11¢No 94¢
5¢
$1,067
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 2m
Active
polymarket

$395-$400

10%
Yes 13¢No 93¢
6¢
$879
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 2m
Active
polymarket

$400-$405

11%
Yes 14¢No 93¢
7¢
$1,359
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 2m
Active
polymarket

$405-$410

11%
Yes 14¢No 93¢
7¢
$1,296
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 2m
Active
polymarket

$410-$415

10%
7%
Yes 14¢No 94¢
8¢
$1,024
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 2m
Active
polymarket

$415-$420

8%
20%
Yes 11¢No 96¢
7¢
$648
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 2m
Active
polymarket

>$420

21%
Yes 25¢No 83¢
8¢
$924
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 14h 2m
Active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for this market tracks the current implied probability of various price ranges for the Tesla stock closing price the week of November 2nd. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $2. Total volume for this market is $2. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential opportunities related to the future price of TSLA.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket suggests a different outlook than many traditional analyst forecasts for Tesla. While analysts often provide point estimates or ranges, this market allows for a probabilistic assessment of potential outcomes. The market aggregates diverse opinions, potentially incorporating information not readily available to analysts. It’s important to remember that both analyst forecasts and prediction market odds represent predictions about the future, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate. This market reflects what traders believe is most likely to happen.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Tesla stock closing price for the week of November 2nd is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be determined by the closing price of TSLA on the last trading day of the specified week. The market will then settle based on which outcome range the actual closing price falls into. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 6, 2026. Major news regarding Tesla’s production numbers, vehicle deliveries, or financial performance would likely cause price swings. Unexpected announcements related to Elon Musk, regulatory changes impacting the electric vehicle industry, or broader macroeconomic events could also influence trading activity. Any significant shifts in investor sentiment towards growth stocks, or news concerning competitor activity, could also move this market. Keep an eye on these developments as the resolution date approaches.