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Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on October 26?
polymarket

Will TSLA close above the price on October 26?

Volume:
$9,196

$390

 - Polymarket

$390 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 6:05 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$390

View
100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,703
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$380

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,663
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$370

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,666
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$350

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$360

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on October 26, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on October 26, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Tesla stock price market tracks the current implied probability of Tesla (TSLA) closing above a specified price on Oct 26, 2026. You’ll find the current odds, a price history chart visualizing how the market has priced the outcome over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $7,608. Total volume for this market is $9,196. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and track changes in expectations regarding Tesla's stock performance.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts for Tesla. While some analysts predict continued growth for the stock, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are putting capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise from differing methodologies, access to information, or simply varying levels of optimism or pessimism. It’s important to consider both sources of information when forming your own opinion on the likely outcome of Tesla’s stock price by Oct 26, 2026.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Tesla will close above the target price. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their positions based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic price discovery process. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the fair chance of the event occurring.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Tesla (TSLA) stock on October 26 will be used to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the ‘yes’ outcome (closing above the specified price) or the ‘no’ outcome (closing at or below the specified price). The resolution will be based on official exchange data and widely recognized financial news sources.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 26, 2026. Major announcements from Tesla regarding vehicle production, deliveries, or financial performance would likely cause price swings. Broader economic news, such as interest rate changes or shifts in the overall stock market, could also play a role. Unexpected news related to electric vehicle competition, regulatory changes, or technological breakthroughs could also move the market. Any significant positive or negative catalyst related to Tesla’s business or the broader automotive industry could influence trader behavior.