TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Tesla (TSLA) above … on October 26?
opinion

Tesla (TSLA) above … on October 26?

Volume:
$0

350

 - Opinion

350 - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 11:06 PM EST

opinion

Opinion

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

350

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

360

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

370

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

380

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

390

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Tesla (TSLA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Tesla (TSLA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Tesla (TSLA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Tesla (TSLA) trades governs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Tesla (TSLA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Tesla (TSLA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Tesla (TSLA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Tesla (TSLA) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the Tesla stock price market tracks the current odds of the stock trading above a specified price on Oct 26, 2026. You’ll find a visual representation of the probabilities, along with the total volume traded—currently $0—and the 24-hour volume, which is $0. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and participation. The dashboard also displays the implied probability of different outcomes, giving a clear picture of where the crowd stands on Tesla’s future performance.

Currently, prediction market participants believe there is a significant chance Tesla’s stock will meet the condition outlined in this market. This contrasts with traditional analyst forecasts, which often rely on financial modeling and company reports. While analysts provide valuable insights, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of information and potential catalysts. It's important to remember that both prediction markets and analyst forecasts are simply predictions about the future, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.

On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of Tesla’s stock price being above the target on Oct 26, 2026. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe the stock will rise, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official closing price of Tesla (TSLA) stock on that date. The exact price used for resolution will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their prediction aligned with the final stock price, and the market will close, finalizing the results.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 26, 2026. Major announcements from Tesla regarding vehicle production, sales figures, or new technologies would undoubtedly move the market. Broader economic news, such as interest rate changes or shifts in the overall stock market, could also play a role. Unexpected events, like regulatory changes or significant competitor announcements, could also influence trader sentiment and shift the odds. Any news that alters perceptions of Tesla’s future growth potential is likely to be reflected in the price of this market.