TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Tesla (TSLA) above … on October 12?
opinion

Tesla (TSLA) above … on October 12?

Volume:
$0

360

 - Opinion

360 - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 11:02 PM EST

opinion

Opinion

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

360

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

370

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

380

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

390

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

400

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Tesla (TSLA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Tesla (TSLA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Tesla (TSLA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Tesla (TSLA) trades governs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Tesla (TSLA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Tesla (TSLA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Tesla (TSLA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Tesla (TSLA) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the TSLA price market tracks the current odds of the stock price being above a certain level on October 12, 2026. You’ll find a visual representation of the probabilities, a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0. The total volume for this market is $0, indicating overall interest. This information helps traders assess market sentiment and make informed decisions about buying or selling shares in this prediction market.

Comparing the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts reveals how collective prediction differs from expert opinion. While analysts often provide price targets based on financial modeling, this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a broader range of information and perspectives. If analysts are largely bullish on TSLA, we might see higher probabilities reflected in this market, and vice versa. Discrepancies can highlight areas where the market perceives risks or opportunities not fully captured by conventional analysis.

On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of the TSLA price being above the specified level on the resolution date. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Market participants adjust their bids and asks based on new information, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations, distinct from static polls or surveys.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of TSLA stock on that date. If the closing price is above the predetermined level, the market will settle positively; otherwise, it will settle negatively. Traders holding contracts predicting a price above the level will receive a payout, while those betting against it will forfeit their stake. The final outcome is determined by objective market data.

Several factors could significantly influence this market between now and Oct 12, 2026. Major announcements from Tesla regarding new products, production numbers, or financial performance would likely cause price swings. Broader economic trends, such as interest rate changes or shifts in the automotive industry, could also play a role. Unexpected news events, like regulatory changes or supply chain disruptions, could introduce volatility. Positive or negative press coverage and shifts in investor sentiment are also key signals to watch that could move this market.