TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Target Foot Traffic in September
kalshi

Target Foot Traffic in September

Volume:
$86,410

Above 89.5

 - Kalshi

Above 89.5 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 89.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,752
N/A
N/A
$5,552
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 90

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,693
N/A
N/A
$3,765
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 91

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,229
N/A
N/A
$5,804
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 90.5

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,376
N/A
N/A
$5,702
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 97

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,672
N/A
N/A
$3,413
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 94.5

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,446
N/A
N/A
$4,681
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 93.5

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,232
N/A
N/A
$3,924
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 93

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,650
N/A
N/A
$2,370
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 94

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,621
N/A
N/A
$5,281
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 95.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,591
N/A
N/A
$1,660
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 96.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,288
N/A
N/A
$1,345
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 96

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,710
N/A
N/A
$2,682
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 92

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,388
N/A
N/A
$1,424
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 92.5

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,155
N/A
N/A
$2,426
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 95

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,646
N/A
N/A
$2,287
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 91.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,962
N/A
N/A
$1,578
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

The question asks whether Target's foot traffic in September 2026 will exceed specific thresholds, based on year-over-year changes measured by Carbon Arc. The index reflects growth or decline compared to the same month in the previous year, with values above 100 indicating an increase. The data is collected from mobile location devices and adjusted for seasonal factors.

Kalshi

All markets in this event are determined by whether the Carbon Arc Target Foot Traffic index for September 2026 exceeds a specified threshold, ranging from 91 to 97. The index measures year-over-year changes in foot traffic, with 100 representing equal traffic to the same month last year. Values above 100 signify growth, while values below 100 indicate decline. The index is calculated using mobile location data from over 200 million devices, matched to the same calendar days as the prior year and normalized for seasonality, weather, and holidays. For all markets, the outcome is based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for September 2026, and any corrections or revisions made after the market settlement will not affect the result. The panel updates daily as new data becomes available.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Target foot traffic market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $22,943. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes for Target's foot traffic performance in September, giving you a live view of market sentiment and activity for this specific prediction.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced assessment of market conditions. While analysts may issue reports based on models and historical data, traders on Kalshi continuously adjust prices based on new information, news, and expectations, which can result in notable differences from consensus analyst views.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by official data releases or authoritative news sources that confirm Target's foot traffic figures for September, aligning with standard verification practices on the platform.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major economic announcements, changes in consumer confidence, weather events affecting shopping patterns, and significant news about Target’s operations or promotions. Earnings reports, retail sector updates, and foot traffic trends from competitors may also influence trader sentiment and move odds on Kalshi as the September period approaches.