TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Up or Down - October 30, 2PM-2:15PM ET
predict

Will TSM/USDT be up or down by October 30?

Volume:
$238

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Up or Down - October 30, 2PM-2:15PM ET

 - Predict

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Up or Down - October 30, 2PM-2:15PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 2:15 PM EST

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Predict

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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Up or Down - October 30, 2PM-2:15PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$129
$238
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the TSM/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the TSM/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the TSM/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/tsm-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink TSM/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T18:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the TSM/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the TSM/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the TSM/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/tsm-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink TSM/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T18:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the TSMC stock market tracks the current odds of the stock going up or down, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have shifted over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $235, and the total volume traded to date, which is $238. This provides a clear visualization of market sentiment and activity surrounding TSMC’s potential performance. The dashboard is updated frequently to reflect the latest trading activity.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may offer price targets based on financial models, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders betting real money on the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing interpretations of information, risk tolerance, or access to unique insights. It’s common to see this market anticipate events before they are reflected in analyst ratings, or to assign different probabilities to various scenarios than those presented in typical financial reports.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the direction of the TSMC stock price between 2:00 PM and 2:15 PM ET on October 30th. If the stock price is higher than its opening price at that time, the 'up' outcome will prevail; otherwise, the 'down' outcome will be determined. The final price will be sourced from a reputable financial data provider to ensure accuracy and transparency.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements from TSMC regarding earnings, production capacity, or new technologies would likely have a substantial impact. Broader macroeconomic factors, such as changes in global economic growth forecasts or interest rate decisions, could also influence investor sentiment towards the semiconductor industry. Geopolitical events, particularly those affecting Taiwan or international trade, represent another potential catalyst. Unexpected news regarding key customers of TSMC, like Apple, could also shift the odds in either direction.