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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11AM ET
predict

Will TSM/USDT be up or down on October 23?

Volume:
$353

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11AM ET

 - Predict

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 11:00 AM EST

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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$20
$353
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the TSM/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the TSM/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the TSM/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/tsm-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink TSM/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T14:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the TSM/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the TSM/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the TSM/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/tsm-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink TSM/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T14:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the TSMC stock market tracks the current odds of the stock going up or down, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $355, and the total volume traded to date, which is $353. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and activity around this specific prediction. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are positioning themselves on the future direction of TSMC.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may offer price targets and ratings based on fundamental analysis, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders betting with real capital. Discrepancies can arise due to differing interpretations of information, risk tolerance, or the inclusion of factors not typically considered in standard financial models. It's common to see this market anticipate events or react to news more quickly than consensus analyst expectations, offering a potentially valuable signal.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the TSMC stock market will go up or down. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, and changes rapidly as new information becomes available or market participants adjust their views. The higher the price, the greater the implied probability of the stock going up.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the TSMC stock price closed higher or lower during the specified 10:45AM-11AM ET timeframe on October 23rd. The final price movement during that period will determine whether the 'Up' or 'Down' outcome is declared. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their positions in this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Major catalysts include earnings reports from TSMC, significant announcements regarding global semiconductor demand, geopolitical developments impacting Taiwan, and broader macroeconomic news affecting the technology sector. Unexpected news related to key customers like Apple or Nvidia could also cause substantial price swings. Any shifts in investor sentiment regarding the overall health of the chip industry will likely be reflected in trading activity within this market.