TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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Taco Bell Foot Traffic in September
kalshi

What will Taco Bell's foot traffic index be in September?

Volume:
$57,852

Above 97.5

 - Kalshi

Above 97.5 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 97.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,057
N/A
N/A
$6,174
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 95.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,621
N/A
N/A
$2,677
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 94.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,150
N/A
N/A
$2,056
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 96.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,096
N/A
N/A
$1,096
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 101

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,994
N/A
N/A
$2,525
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 104.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,623
N/A
N/A
$5,094
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 98.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,232
N/A
N/A
$3,228
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 100.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,158
N/A
N/A
$2,463
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 103.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,590
N/A
N/A
$3,100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 100

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,984
N/A
N/A
$1,201
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 102

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,693
N/A
N/A
$874
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 101.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,639
N/A
N/A
$1,232
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 99.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,326
N/A
N/A
$1,843
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 105.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,215
N/A
N/A
$2,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 103

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,249
N/A
N/A
$1,016
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 102.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,224
N/A
N/A
$1,224
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

The event tracks Taco Bell's customer traffic performance for September 2026 using a year-over-year index. The index compares September 2026 foot traffic to the same month in the previous year, with values above 100 indicating growth. The data is sourced from mobile location analytics and adjusted for seasonal variations.

Kalshi

All markets in this event are determined by the Carbon Arc Taco Bell Foot Traffic index for September 2026. The index measures year-over-year changes in foot traffic, where a value of 100 indicates equal traffic compared to the same month last year, with higher values signifying growth and lower values indicating decline. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., above 97.5, above 98.5, etc.), and if the reported index for September 2026 meets or exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The determining value is the first report published by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after the market settlement will not affect the outcome. The index is calculated using mobile location data from over 200 million devices, matched to the same calendar days as the prior year and normalized for seasonality, weather, and holidays. Updates to the index occur daily as new data becomes available.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may issue reports based on historical trends and economic indicators, traders in this market incorporate a wider range of real-time signals. This can lead to notable differences in implied probabilities, especially around events like new product launches or weather patterns affecting foot traffic.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially reported foot traffic data for the relevant period, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Weather events, regional holidays, or unexpected changes in Taco Bell’s operating hours may cause traders to adjust their positions. Additionally, news about new menu releases, marketing campaigns, or broader consumer trends could influence expectations and move the market odds meaningfully as Oct 15, 2026 approaches.