TOTAL VOLUME:

$117.2b

24H VOL:

$91,762,156

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,181,583,547

342,259

Markets across

34,566

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,572

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Time left: 24d:06h:27m

Will Green Party receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 Swedish general election?

98%chance
Amount

$

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Total markets: 8

Description

This market tracks the Green Party's performance in Sweden's 2026 parliamentary election, focusing on whether their share of valid votes meets or exceeds specific thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final, officially certified results from the national election authority.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the Green Party's final certified vote share in Sweden's 2026 Riksdag election, as determined by Valmyndigheten. Each market corresponds to a specific minimum vote percentage threshold (ranging from 3% to 11%), with 'Yes' outcomes occurring when the certified percentage meets or exceeds that threshold. The calculation uses only valid votes cast for the Riksdag, excluding regional/municipal elections and any invalid, spoiled, blank, or rejected ballots. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding vote calculation methodology and resolution sources, with outcomes determined exclusively by the authoritative final certification rather than preliminary counts.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Swedish election results are verified against credible public sources. The final vote share percentage will be compared to the market’s settled price to determine payouts for all participants.