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Swedish general election: Centre Party vote percent
Elections
kalshi

What will the Centre Party's vote percent be in the Swedish general election?

Aug 24, 2026, 5:00 PM EST - Sep 21, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$36,142
Volume 24h:
$14,394N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$23,595
39%

At least 3%

 - Kalshi

At least 3% - Kalshi

98%

+4.3%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Aug 26

Aug 26

Aug 27

Aug 27

Aug 27

Aug 28

Aug 28

Vol.

$3.1k

·

Resolves Sep 21, 2026

Time left: 24d:06h:27m

Will Centre Party receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Swedish general election?

97%chance
Amount

$

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 36% 24 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the Centre Party's performance in Sweden's 2026 parliamentary election, focusing on whether its share of valid votes meets or exceeds specific thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the officially certified results for the national Riksdag election, excluding regional or municipal contests and any invalid ballots.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the Centre Party's final, certified vote share in Sweden's 2026 Riksdag election, as determined by Valmyndigheten. Each market corresponds to a specific minimum percentage threshold (ranging from 3% to 12%), and resolves to 'Yes' if the party's vote share meets or exceeds that threshold. The calculation uses only valid votes cast for the Riksdag, excluding invalid, spoiled, blank, or rejected ballots, and disregards votes from concurrent regional or municipal elections. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding vote calculation methodology and resolution sources, ensuring consistency across thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Centre Party vote share market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $14,444. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different vote percentages for the Centre Party in the upcoming Swedish general election. This view isolates activity solely on Kalshi, with no aggregation from other venues.

Currently, this market reflects trader expectations that can diverge from traditional poll-based analyst forecasts. While analysts may publish their own projections for the Centre Party's performance, the odds here capture a different signal — the collective betting sentiment on Kalshi. Differences between the two can arise from factors such as recent political events or shifting voter sentiment that may not yet be fully captured in polls.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks to reflect their expectations for the Centre Party's vote share. The current top outcome has a chance of 97.0%, and volume stands at $36,142. Prices adjust dynamically based on trading activity, news, and evolving campaign dynamics.

This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official election results are verified against credible public sources. The final vote percentage reported by authoritative Swedish electoral institutions will determine the settled result, reflecting the actual share of votes the Centre Party receives in the general election.