TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Surrey Mayoral Election
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Surrey Mayoral Election?

Volume:
$65,119

Doug McCallum

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 5:03 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Doug McCallum

View
100%
99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,478
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Doug McCallum

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,446
N/A
N/A
$1,101
1w 3d 14h
Yes
polymarket

Brenda Locke

View
0%
94%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,470
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Brenda Locke

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,733
N/A
N/A
$2,223
1w 3d 14h
No
polymarket

Linda Annis

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,504
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Linda Annis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,603
N/A
N/A
$2,106
1w 3d 14h
No
polymarket

Honveer Singh Randhawa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,339
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Honveer Singh Randhawa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$583
N/A
N/A
$369
1w 3d 14h
No
polymarket

Mike Starchuk

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mike Starchuk

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$593
N/A
N/A
$552
1w 3d 14h
No
polymarket

Troy Van Vliet

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,482
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Troy Van Vliet

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,691
N/A
N/A
$715
1w 3d 14h
No
polymarket

Candidate A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate B

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate D

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate E

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate F

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate G

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate H

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate I

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate J

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate K

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate L

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate M

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 39

Description

This group forecasts the winner of the 2026 Surrey, British Columbia mayoral election. Markets cover named candidates as well as an 'other' option, allowing for speculation on potential contenders not yet formally announced. Resolution hinges on the official election results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve based on the same core criteria: the candidate who wins the official 2026 Surrey mayoral election.Primary resolution logic: Official election results from the City of Surrey

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the candidate officially declared the winner of the 2026 Surrey mayoral election.
  • Temporary or interim mayors do not count towards resolution.
  • If no official result is available by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the markets will resolve to 'Other'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie: In the event of a tie, official procedures for breaking ties as defined by the City of Surrey will determine the winner for resolution purposes.
  • Election Delay: If the election is delayed beyond October 17, 2026, resolution will still occur based on the eventual official results, using the June 30, 2027 deadline as the cutoff for 'Other'.
Timing: Resolution will occur upon the official announcement of the election results by the City of Surrey, or on June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET if no official results are available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

The 2026 Surrey, BC mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Surrey as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Surrey.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes for any market where the named candidate is officially declared the winner of the 2026 Surrey mayoral election. Each candidate-specific market has an identical resolution condition: a Yes outcome occurs exclusively if that particular candidate emerges victorious. All markets include a secondary rule allowing for accelerated resolution should a consensus of credible media outlets report the election outcome, enabling quicker settlement without waiting for formal certification. No other conditions or exceptions affect the resolution; the sole determinant is the official or widely accepted media-concurred result identifying the elected mayor among the listed candidates.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional polling averages. While polls capture a snapshot of current voter intention, this market reflects what individuals are willing to *stake* on an outcome. This can incorporate more information than polls alone, such as insights into candidate fundraising, campaign momentum, and potential unforeseen events. Discrepancies between this market and polls can sometimes indicate that traders believe polls are inaccurate or that there are hidden factors influencing the election. It's a real-money forecast, providing a unique signal.

Several events could significantly impact this market. Major endorsements, significant fundraising announcements, and unexpected controversies involving candidates could all shift trader sentiment. Changes in polling data, while not always directly correlated, can also influence prices. Furthermore, any unforeseen events impacting voter turnout or campaign strategies could move the market. A key event to watch will be any debates or public forums featuring the candidates, as these can provide valuable insights into their platforms and performance.