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$1,944,100,805

420,493

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Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth?
polymarket

Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth?

Volume:
$10,487

7% to 9%

 - Polymarket

7% to 9% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 6:08 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

7% to 9%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,363
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

5% to 7%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,534
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

11%+

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,373
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

9% to 11%

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$610
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<5%

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$608
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to Starbucks' global comparable store sales growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to Starbucks' global comparable store sales growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Starbucks Q4 sales growth market tracks the current odds of various outcomes for global comparable store sales growth. You’ll find a price history chart illustrating how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $999. Total volume for this market is $10,487. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on Starbucks’ performance and how sentiment is evolving as we approach the earnings release.

Currently, prediction market participants are expressing their views on Starbucks’ Q4 sales growth. These probabilities, as reflected in this market, can be compared to the consensus estimates from financial analysts covering the stock. If analysts generally predict a higher growth rate than what’s priced into this market, it might suggest an opportunity for informed traders. Discrepancies between market pricing and expert opinions can arise due to differing methodologies, access to information, or simply varying levels of optimism or pessimism regarding Starbucks’ future performance.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the expected sales growth. The market’s efficiency relies on the collective intelligence of its participants.

This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Starbucks Q4 global comparable store sales growth figure is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the percentage change in comparable store sales reported by Starbucks in their official earnings release. Traders will then be able to see which outcome was predicted most accurately by the market and how their positions performed. This provides a clear and objective determination of the market’s success.

Several factors could influence the price action in this market before resolution. Unexpected news regarding Starbucks’ performance in key markets, changes in consumer spending patterns, or broader economic indicators could all shift trader sentiment. Any pre-earnings announcements from Starbucks, such as updates on store openings or promotional campaigns, would also likely have a significant impact. Furthermore, analyst revisions to their sales growth forecasts could trigger adjustments in this market as traders react to the new information.