TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Starbucks Credit Card Spend in September
kalshi

What is Starbucks' credit card spend performance in September?

Volume:
$174,997

Above 99

 - Kalshi

Above 99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 12:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 99

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,550
N/A
N/A
$7,824
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 101

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,186
N/A
N/A
$4,433
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 102

View
100%
94%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,305
N/A
N/A
$9,798
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 100

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,788
N/A
N/A
$7,657
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 96

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,354
N/A
N/A
$5,585
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 97

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,262
N/A
N/A
$10,453
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 93

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,195
N/A
N/A
$6,688
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 98

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,815
N/A
N/A
$4,993
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 105

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,653
N/A
N/A
$5,315
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 114

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,865
N/A
N/A
$6,864
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 108

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,582
N/A
N/A
$2,868
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 111

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,443
N/A
N/A
$2,393
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

These markets track Starbucks' credit card spending performance for September 2026, measured against various year-over-year growth thresholds. The outcomes depend on whether reported spending indices exceed specific levels, reflecting consumer behavior trends through aggregated card transaction data.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for Starbucks Credit Card Spend in September 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold: if the reported index exceeds the specified level (ranging from 93 to 105), the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The index represents year-over-year change, where 100 indicates equal spending compared to the same month last year, with higher values showing growth and lower values indicating decline. All determinations are final and immune to subsequent data corrections or revisions. The index is derived from Carbon Arc’s aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the prior year’s period, and updates daily. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with Starbucks or Carbon Arc, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, odds from this market reflect a different outlook than many analyst forecasts. While analysts may lean on historical trends and macro factors, traders in this market incorporate a broader set of signals — including recent sales patterns, promotional activity, and consumer sentiment polls. The gap between these two views can highlight areas where market participants diverge from traditional financial analysis.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the officially reported Starbucks credit card spend for September, drawn from verified financial disclosures or regulatory filings that are widely accessible to the public.

Key signals that could shift this market include major Starbucks earnings releases, unexpected changes in consumer spending behavior, new credit card promotion announcements, and broader economic indicators such as inflation or employment data. Any surprise in these areas — whether positive or negative — may cause rapid repricing as traders update their expectations for September's spend figures.