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471,138
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$50M
- Polymarket
$50M - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Latest in Crypto
StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
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Intro
This market tracks the probability of StandX’s Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) exceeding $50M one day after its token launch. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Predict gives a 18.5% chance to this outcome, with a 17.5% probability assigned to StandX’s FDV exceeding $100M. Resolution will be based on the most liquid price source available, determining the FDV at 4:00 PM ET the day following a public, tradable launch. Keep an eye on whether StandX launches a token by December 31, 2026, as all markets will resolve to ‘No’ if a launch does not occur by this date.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria, including the definition of 'launch', the resolution time, and the fallback condition for no launch by December 31, 2026.Primary resolution logic: Most liquid price source availableCore resolution logic:
- The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
- Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch.
- The market resolves to 'Yes' if the FDV is greater than the specified threshold at the resolution time.
- If StandX does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'No'.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- No Public Launch: If StandX does not launch a publicly tradable token by December 31, 2026, all markets will resolve to 'No'.
- Launch Timing: The 'day following launch' is clearly defined as the calendar day after the launch, with resolution occurring at 4:00 PM ET. Any launch occurring after 4:00 PM ET will have its FDV assessed the *next* calendar day.
- FDV Calculation: The resolution source is the 'most liquid price source available'. This implies a reliance on market data and could introduce some subjectivity in determining the precise FDV.
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Predict
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, represent the collective wisdom of traders regarding the probability of a future event. Unlike spot price expectations which reflect current market value, this market focuses on a future valuation – StandX’s FDV one day after launch. The price of a 'yes' share in this market can be interpreted as the probability that StandX’s FDV will exceed the specified level. Discrepancies between prediction market prices and other forecasts can arise from differing information sets, analytical approaches, or simply market biases.
Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Predict due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk preferences, which can lead to varying levels of demand for different outcomes. Currently, Polymarket currently favors StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch? at 20.5%, while Predict leans toward StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? at 14.6%. Additionally, differing liquidity and trading fees on each platform can influence price discovery and create temporary arbitrage opportunities.
This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the StandX fully diluted valuation (FDV) one day after the official launch date. The FDV will be determined by publicly available data sources and assessed against the conditions outlined in the market description. Traders should monitor official StandX announcements and reputable cryptocurrency data aggregators for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from the StandX team regarding partnerships, technological advancements, or user adoption could shift market sentiment. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space, such as overall bullish or bearish momentum, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected regulatory developments or security breaches related to StandX or its underlying technology could cause substantial price fluctuations. Monitoring news sources, social media, and on-chain data will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts.
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