TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.8b
24H VOL:
$153,964,051
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,815,744,871
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,809,858,743
498,684
Markets across
37,244
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,831
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Time left: 16d:15h:36m
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These markets track projected growth in Sprite point-of-sale spending for October 2026 compared to the same month in the previous year. The outcomes depend on whether year-over-year sales increases meet or exceed specific thresholds, with higher thresholds representing stronger growth performance.
All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Sprite Point of Sale Growth index for October 2026, finalized and recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on November 23, 2026 (the second calendar day after October ends). The index measures year-over-year change in Sprite sales, where 100 indicates equal spending to the prior year, values above 100 show growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. Data comes from Carbon Arc’s point-of-sale receipt panel, which tracks in-store and online purchases through receipt scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period annually. Daily updates occur as new data arrives. Market outcomes depend solely on whether the index value exceeds the specified threshold for each market (e.g., above 89, 91, etc.). Kalshi has no affiliation with the underlying company, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Currently, the odds in this market reflect a collective prediction about Sprite’s sales growth in October. These predictions are formed by individuals trading on Kalshi, and can differ from traditional analyst forecasts. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than typical analyst reports. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential blind spots in conventional analysis regarding consumer packaged goods sales.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes for Sprite sales growth. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding Sprite’s performance.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual Sprite sales data for October is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official sales figures released by The Coca-Cola Company or a similarly authoritative source. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the final, verified sales growth percentage. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 10, 2026. Unexpected economic data releases, shifts in consumer spending patterns, promotional campaigns by The Coca-Cola Company, or competitor actions could all impact expectations for Sprite’s sales. Weather events, particularly in key sales regions, could also play a role. Any news or data that alters perceptions of consumer demand or the overall beverage market is likely to cause price fluctuations in this market.