TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

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4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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Kalshi:

63%

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SPCX Up or Down - October 30, 1PM-1:15PM ET
predict

Will SPCX/USDT price go up or down?

Volume:
$594

SPCX Up or Down - October 30, 1PM-1:15PM ET

 - Predict

SPCX Up or Down - October 30, 1PM-1:15PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 1:15 PM EST

predict

Predict

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predict

SPCX Up or Down - October 30, 1PM-1:15PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$201
$594
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the SPCX/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the SPCX/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the SPCX/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/spcx-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink SPCX/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T17:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the SPCX/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the SPCX/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the SPCX/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/spcx-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink SPCX/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T17:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the SPCX stock market tracks the current odds of the stock going up or down, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $587, and the total volume traded to date, which is $594. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and activity related to SPCX. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how participants are forecasting the stock’s performance leading up to the event.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts might rely on financial models and company reports, this market incorporates the collective wisdom of traders reacting to a wider range of information, including news events, social media sentiment, and even subtle market indicators. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and the speed at which information is incorporated into pricing. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new developments than typical analyst ratings.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the SPCX stock will close higher or lower by the specified time. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the stock will go up, the higher the price of the 'up' contract, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the SPCX stock price closed higher or lower during the 1PM-1:15PM ET window on October 30th. The final price at the close of that period will determine whether the 'up' or 'down' outcome is declared. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Predict shortly after the event concludes.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 30, 2026. Unexpected news regarding SPCX’s financial performance, major announcements about new products or partnerships, or even broader market trends impacting the technology sector could all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, significant shifts in overall market risk appetite or macroeconomic data releases could also play a role. Any unexpected event that alters the perceived future prospects of SPCX has the potential to cause substantial price fluctuations in this market.