TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 3:30 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the SPCX/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the SPCX/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the SPCX/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/spcx-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink SPCX/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T19:15:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the SPCX/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the SPCX/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the SPCX/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/spcx-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink SPCX/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T19:15:00Z
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on fundamental and technical analysis, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and potential catalysts. Discrepancies can arise from differing interpretations of economic data, unexpected news events, or simply variations in risk appetite. It’s common to see this market anticipate shifts in sentiment before they are reflected in analyst ratings, offering a potentially valuable alternative indicator for the SPCX stock market.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the SPCX stock will be up or down at the designated time. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the traders. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing sentiment. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new data and adjust expectations regarding the stock’s future performance.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the SPCX stock price is higher or lower at 3:30 PM ET on October 23rd, compared to its price at 3:15 PM ET on the same day. The final price movement will be verified against established financial data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Unexpected economic data releases, such as inflation reports or GDP figures, could influence investor sentiment towards the SPCX stock. Company-specific news, like earnings announcements or major product launches, would also be a key driver. Geopolitical events or shifts in broader market trends could also play a role. Any news that alters the perceived risk or growth potential of the SPCX stock is likely to cause fluctuations in the market’s odds.