TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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S&P price on Oct 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
kalshi

S&P price on Oct 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Volume:
$495,273

7,745 or above

 - Kalshi

7,745 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,745 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$71,110
N/A
N/A
$65,062
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,755 or above

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57,706
N/A
N/A
$23,945
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,760 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$54,534
N/A
N/A
$23,999
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,765 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47,083
N/A
N/A
$44,704
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,740 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,858
N/A
N/A
$6,322
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,865
N/A
N/A
$4,724
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,730 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,298
N/A
N/A
$1,559
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,710 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,044
N/A
N/A
$1,586
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,735 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,314
N/A
N/A
$576
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,720 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,236
N/A
N/A
$1,217
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,705 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,007
N/A
N/A
$873
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,675 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$422
N/A
N/A
$412
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,725 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$409
N/A
N/A
$344
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,715 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$319
N/A
N/A
$206
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,700 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
$88
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,695 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,655 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,685 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,775 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$127,555
N/A
N/A
$101,505
Settled
No
kalshi

7,785 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,501
N/A
N/A
$40,890
Settled
No
kalshi

7,770 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,513
N/A
N/A
$20,452
Settled
No
kalshi

7,790 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,011
N/A
N/A
$3,413
Settled
No
kalshi

7,780 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,869
N/A
N/A
$2,187
Settled
No
kalshi

7,800 or above

View
0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,255
N/A
N/A
$2,862
Settled
No
kalshi

7,795 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$822
N/A
N/A
$460
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This set of markets tracks whether the S&P 500 index will close above specific thresholds on a particular date. Each market corresponds to a different price level, allowing participants to speculate on the exact magnitude of the index's performance at that moment.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the end-of-day value of the S&P 500 index on October 08, 2026. For each market, if the index closes above the specified threshold (e.g., 7649.9999, 7654.9999, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets close on October 08, 2026, and expiration occurs at the sooner of the first official release of the index value or one week after the close date. The Exchange has applied modifications to the Source Agency and Underlying for index markets as per the Kalshi Rulebook.