TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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S&P price on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
kalshi

S&P price on Oct 7, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Volume:
$437,229

7,795 or above

 - Kalshi

7,795 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,795 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$166,270
N/A
N/A
$131,812
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,790 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$46,549
N/A
N/A
$30,680
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,800 or above

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,461
N/A
N/A
$19,784
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,785 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,995
N/A
N/A
$13,017
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,780 or above

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,456
N/A
N/A
$9,159
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,775 or above

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,438
N/A
N/A
$3,092
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,119
N/A
N/A
$2,954
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,770 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,377
N/A
N/A
$3,022
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,720 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,833
N/A
N/A
$4,693
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,760 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,280
N/A
N/A
$1,707
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,765 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,889
N/A
N/A
$2,357
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,735 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,127
N/A
N/A
$2,024
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,740 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,199
N/A
N/A
$1,117
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,730 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$551
N/A
N/A
$550
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,725 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$545
N/A
N/A
$545
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,745 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$507
N/A
N/A
$440
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,695 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$506
N/A
N/A
$506
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,755 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$367
N/A
N/A
$318
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,705 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,710 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,715 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,805 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,125
N/A
N/A
$67,149
Settled
No
kalshi

7,810 or above

View
0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,808
N/A
N/A
$18,654
Settled
No
kalshi

7,820 or above

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,302
N/A
N/A
$1,762
Settled
No
kalshi

7,815 or above

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,723
N/A
N/A
$2,715
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This set of markets tracks potential future performance of a major stock market index on a specific date. Each market represents a different threshold value that the index must exceed to settle, allowing participants to speculate on various levels of market performance.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on October 07, 2026. For each market, if the index closes above a specified threshold (e.g., 7,600.9999 or higher), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets close on October 07, 2026, and expiration occurs at the sooner of the first official data release or one week after the close date. The Exchange has applied modifications to the Source Agency and Underlying for index markets as per the Kalshi Rulebook, ensuring consistent data sourcing and valuation methodology across all threshold-based markets.