TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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S&P price on Oct 5, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
kalshi

S&P price on Oct 5, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Volume:
$627,684

7,770 or above

 - Kalshi

7,770 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,770 or above

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$142,321
N/A
N/A
$106,596
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,765 or above

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,042
N/A
N/A
$6,338
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,760 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,487
N/A
N/A
$17,882
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,652
N/A
N/A
$20,177
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,755 or above

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,522
N/A
N/A
$13,723
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,730 or above

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,969
N/A
N/A
$2,714
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,740 or above

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,641
N/A
N/A
$3,738
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,735 or above

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,172
N/A
N/A
$1,421
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,725 or above

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,148
N/A
N/A
$2,627
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,690 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,657
N/A
N/A
$3,604
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,715 or above

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,460
N/A
N/A
$3,235
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,745 or above

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,446
N/A
N/A
$1,852
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,660 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,326
N/A
N/A
$1,314
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,720 or above

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,125
N/A
N/A
$665
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,630 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,056
N/A
N/A
$1,056
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,710 or above

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$740
N/A
N/A
$302
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,700 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$517
N/A
N/A
$404
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,685 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$512
N/A
N/A
$511
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,695 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$482
N/A
N/A
$481
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,705 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$210
N/A
N/A
$159
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,655 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
$106
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,665 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,670 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
$95
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,680 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,675 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$33
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 70

Description

This event tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the exact close of trading on the specified date, reflecting broader economic and market conditions at that moment.

Kalshi

All markets share a common resolution mechanism based on the S&P 500 index value at 4pm EDT on October 5, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold, and if the index closes above that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Markets close on October 5, 2026, and expiration occurs at the sooner of the first official data release or one week after the close. All markets are subject to modifications outlined in the Kalshi Rulebook regarding source agency and underlying adjustments for indices.