TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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S&P price on Oct 5, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
kalshi

S&P price on Oct 5, 2026 at 3pm EDT?

Volume:
$306,181

7,765 or above

 - Kalshi

7,765 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,765 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$122,660
N/A
N/A
$41,132
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,780 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105,107
N/A
N/A
$96,699
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,775 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50,584
N/A
N/A
$46,488
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,770 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,307
N/A
N/A
$13,760
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,760 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$954
N/A
N/A
$346
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,755 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$807
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$773
N/A
N/A
$377
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,745 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$343
N/A
N/A
$343
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,740 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$114
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,665 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,670 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,675 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,680 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,685 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,690 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,695 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,700 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,705 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,710 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,715 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,720 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,725 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,730 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,735 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,785 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,869
N/A
N/A
$2,743
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 70

Description

The S&P 500 index is a key indicator reflecting the performance of 500 large-cap U.S. companies. On October 5, 2026 at 3pm EDT, the index's closing value will determine outcomes across multiple thresholds, offering insights into potential market optimism or pessimism at that specific moment.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the S&P 500 index value at 3pm EDT on October 5, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold; if the index closes above that threshold (e.g., 7,500.0000, 7,505.0000, up to 7,795.0000), the market resolves to 'Yes.' Markets close on October 5, 2026, and expiration occurs at the sooner of the first official data release or one week after that date. All markets adhere to modified source agency and underlying rules for indices as per the Kalshi Rulebook.