TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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S&P price on Oct 5, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
kalshi

S&P price on Oct 5, 2026 at 2pm EDT?

Volume:
$122,654

7,775 or above

 - Kalshi

7,775 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 2:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,775 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50,455
N/A
N/A
$43,620
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,770 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48,798
N/A
N/A
$46,224
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,755 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,250
N/A
N/A
$9,896
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,765 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,485
N/A
N/A
$4,343
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,760 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,272
N/A
N/A
$2,239
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$624
N/A
N/A
$520
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,740 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$306
N/A
N/A
$306
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,745 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$172
N/A
N/A
$172
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,670 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,675 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,680 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,685 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,690 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,695 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,700 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,705 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,710 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,715 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,720 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,725 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,730 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,735 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,645 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,665 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,780 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,679
N/A
N/A
$1,196
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This event tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the exact closing moment, reflecting broader economic and market sentiment predictions.

Kalshi

All markets share the same event-level rules: resolution occurs based on the S&P 500 index value at 2pm EDT on October 5, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold; if the index closes above its specified level (e.g., 7,500.9999 or higher), that market resolves to 'Yes,' otherwise 'No.' Markets close on October 5, 2026, and expiration occurs at the sooner of the first official data release or one week post-date. All markets adhere to modified source agency and underlying rules for indices as per the Kalshi Rulebook.