TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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S&P price on Oct 5, 2026 at 1pm EDT?
kalshi

S&P price on Oct 5, 2026 at 1pm EDT?

Volume:
$132,688

7,760 or above

 - Kalshi

7,760 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 1:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,760 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,015
N/A
N/A
$6,522
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,765 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,820
N/A
N/A
$3,012
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,755 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,839
N/A
N/A
$2,467
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,247
N/A
N/A
$1,193
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,740 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,195
N/A
N/A
$1,189
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,730 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,179
N/A
N/A
$1,179
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,745 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,093
N/A
N/A
$1,072
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,715 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$865
N/A
N/A
$865
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,735 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$284
N/A
N/A
$284
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,670 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,675 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,680 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,685 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,690 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,695 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,700 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,705 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,710 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,720 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,725 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,625 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,770 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92,087
N/A
N/A
$84,345
Settled
No
kalshi

7,775 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,885
N/A
N/A
$1,228
Settled
No
kalshi

7,780 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This event tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the exact closing moment, reflecting broader economic expectations and market sentiment.

Kalshi

All markets share the same resolution criteria based on the S&P 500 index value at 1pm EDT on October 5, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold, and if the index closes above that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Markets close on October 5, 2026, and expiration occurs at the sooner of the first official data release or one week after the closing date. The Exchange has applied specific modifications to the source agency and underlying for index markets as per the Kalshi Rulebook.