TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 12:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the exact specified moment, reflecting broader economic expectations and market sentiment.
All markets share the same event-level rules: each resolves based on whether the S&P 500 index value at 12pm EDT on October 5, 2026 exceeds a specific threshold (e.g., 7,500.0000, 7,510.0000, etc.). The market closes on October 5, 2026, and expires either when the index value is first officially released or one week after that date, whichever comes first. All markets adhere to modified source agency and underlying rules for indices as specified in the Kalshi Rulebook.