TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Financials
S&P price on Oct 5, 2026 at 11am EDT?
kalshi

S&P price on Oct 5, 2026 at 11am EDT?

Volume:
$159,072

7,750 or above

 - Kalshi

7,750 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 11:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,750 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$49,301
N/A
N/A
$45,746
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,755 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45,270
N/A
N/A
$42,641
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,740 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,563
N/A
N/A
$3,669
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,745 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,618
N/A
N/A
$2,686
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,735 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,902
N/A
N/A
$1,007
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,730 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,482
N/A
N/A
$1,077
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,710 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,419
N/A
N/A
$1,419
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,725 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$838
N/A
N/A
$838
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,720 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$713
N/A
N/A
$710
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,715 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$578
N/A
N/A
$578
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,705 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$570
N/A
N/A
$570
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,700 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$392
N/A
N/A
$350
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,690 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$342
N/A
N/A
$342
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,695 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$168
N/A
N/A
$120
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,675 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,680 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,685 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,760 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,684
N/A
N/A
$42,029
Settled
No
kalshi

7,770 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$570
N/A
N/A
$569
Settled
No
kalshi

7,765 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
$244
Settled
No
kalshi

7,795 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
$48
Settled
No
kalshi

7,790 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$41
Settled
No
kalshi

7,775 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

7,500 or above

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,505 or above

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This event tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the predetermined moment, reflecting broader economic expectations and market sentiment.

Kalshi

All markets share the same resolution criteria, focusing on whether the S&P 500 index value at 11am EDT on October 5, 2026, exceeds a specified threshold. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging incrementally from 7,500 to 7,795. If the index value at the exact resolution time is greater than the respective threshold (e.g., above 7,499.9999 for the first market, above 7,794.9999 for the last), that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets close on October 5, 2026, and expire either when the index value is first officially released or one week after the resolution date, whichever comes first. The Exchange has applied modifications to the source agency and underlying for index markets as per the Kalshi Rulebook.