TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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S&P price on Oct 5, 2026 at 10am EDT?
kalshi

S&P price on Oct 5, 2026 at 10am EDT?

Volume:
$98,120

7,730 or above

 - Kalshi

7,730 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,730 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,594
N/A
N/A
$40,435
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,715 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,365
N/A
N/A
$1,677
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,720 or above

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,017
N/A
N/A
$1,509
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,725 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,866
N/A
N/A
$970
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,735 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,849
N/A
N/A
$1,189
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,700 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,633
N/A
N/A
$1,615
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,710 or above

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,006
N/A
N/A
$689
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,695 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$366
N/A
N/A
$298
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,675 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$360
N/A
N/A
$322
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,690 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$332
N/A
N/A
$321
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,500 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
$224
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,505 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$211
N/A
N/A
$211
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,510 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
$183
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,520 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$181
N/A
N/A
$181
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,515 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$171
N/A
N/A
$171
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,670 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$104
N/A
N/A
$104
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,705 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$80
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,635 or above

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,680 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,535 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
$43
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,540 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,685 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,640 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,630 or above

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,740 or above

View
0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,452
N/A
N/A
$40,250
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This event tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the exact moment of evaluation, reflecting broader economic expectations and market sentiment.

Kalshi

All markets share the same evaluation criteria, requiring the S&P 500 index value at 10am EDT on October 5, 2026, to be compared against specific numerical thresholds. If the index value exceeds the threshold defined in each market (e.g., above 7,499.9999 for one market, above 7,504.9999 for another, and so on up to above 7,794.9999), that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets close on October 5, 2026, and expire either when the index value is first officially released or one week after the specified date, whichever occurs first. The Exchange has applied modifications to the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets as per the Kalshi Rulebook.