TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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S&P price on Oct 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
kalshi

S&P price on Oct 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Volume:
$551,063

7,580 or above

 - Kalshi

7,580 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,580 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$110,194
N/A
N/A
$85,434
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,575 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,475
N/A
N/A
$10,142
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,545 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,606
N/A
N/A
$24,816
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,555 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,652
N/A
N/A
$11,729
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,560 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,572
N/A
N/A
$8,983
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,540 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,684
N/A
N/A
$3,504
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,520 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,315
N/A
N/A
$4,952
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,530 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,753
N/A
N/A
$6,667
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,565 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,631
N/A
N/A
$2,860
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,570 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,482
N/A
N/A
$2,096
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,550 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,928
N/A
N/A
$3,149
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,525 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,816
N/A
N/A
$3,292
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,535 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,312
N/A
N/A
$2,396
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,510 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$663
N/A
N/A
$511
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,500 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$648
N/A
N/A
$644
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,480 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
$312
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,505 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$227
N/A
N/A
$227
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,485 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$159
N/A
N/A
$159
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,495 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
$92
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,475 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
$73
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,515 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,490 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,585 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97,732
N/A
N/A
$87,231
Settled
No
kalshi

7,630 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,431
N/A
N/A
$28,955
Settled
No
kalshi

7,670 or above

View
0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,404
N/A
N/A
$29,321
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 80

Description

These markets track whether the S&P 500 index will surpass specific thresholds by the close of trading on October 30, 2026. Each threshold represents a distinct level the index must exceed for the corresponding market to settle positively. The outcomes reflect expectations about long-term market performance and economic conditions over the following years.

Kalshi

All markets share a common resolution framework centered on the S&P 500 index's closing value on October 30, 2026. Each market has a unique numerical threshold; if the index closes above its respective threshold at 4pm EDT on that date, the market resolves to Yes. Markets close on October 30, 2026, and expiration occurs at the sooner of the official index data release or one week after the close. Consistent with modified exchange rules for index markets, all thresholds use precise decimal cutoffs (e.g., 7574.9999) to define resolution boundaries, ensuring unambiguous settlement based on the final published index value.