TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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S&P price on Oct 26, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
kalshi

S&P price on Oct 26, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Volume:
$302,498

7,675 or above

 - Kalshi

7,675 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,675 or above

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$99,309
N/A
N/A
$73,725
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,645 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,038
N/A
N/A
$5,518
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,670 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,787
N/A
N/A
$3,533
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,655 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,924
N/A
N/A
$5,042
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,665 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,413
N/A
N/A
$3,196
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,660 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,242
N/A
N/A
$877
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,650 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,032
N/A
N/A
$1,511
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,625 or above

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,560
N/A
N/A
$1,501
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,640 or above

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,460
N/A
N/A
$1,277
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,630 or above

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,044
N/A
N/A
$914
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,605 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$765
N/A
N/A
$708
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,575 or above

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$676
N/A
N/A
$413
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,600 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$632
N/A
N/A
$632
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,620 or above

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$540
N/A
N/A
$484
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,560 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$505
N/A
N/A
$505
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,595 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$376
N/A
N/A
$376
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,570 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$351
N/A
N/A
$351
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,635 or above

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$308
N/A
N/A
$265
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,585 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$199
N/A
N/A
$185
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,615 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$156
N/A
N/A
$155
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,580 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
$62
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,610 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,590 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,550 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,555 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This event tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the exact closing moment on the specified date, reflecting broader economic and market conditions anticipated over the next several years.

Kalshi

All markets share the same resolution criteria, focusing on whether the S&P 500 index value at 4pm EDT on October 26, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds ranging from 7,500 to 7,795. Each market has a unique threshold, and resolution occurs based on the index's value at the precise closing time. Markets close on October 26, 2026, and expiration is triggered either by the first official release of the index data or one week after the closing date, whichever comes first. All markets adhere to modified source agency and underlying rules for indices as outlined in the Kalshi Rulebook.