TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
kalshi

S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Volume:
$204,174

7,660 or above

 - Kalshi

7,660 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,660 or above

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,142
N/A
N/A
$27,988
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,690 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,213
N/A
N/A
$4,186
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,680 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,053
N/A
N/A
$2,471
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,685 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,651
N/A
N/A
$1,484
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,655 or above

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$861
N/A
N/A
$805
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,665 or above

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$834
N/A
N/A
$553
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,675 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$763
N/A
N/A
$739
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,670 or above

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$685
N/A
N/A
$524
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,650 or above

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$657
N/A
N/A
$631
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,630 or above

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$587
N/A
N/A
$587
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,580 or above

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
$400
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,635 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$321
N/A
N/A
$320
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,645 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$251
N/A
N/A
$241
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,615 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,585 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,620 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,640 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,625 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,705 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,125
N/A
N/A
$44,883
Settled
No
kalshi

7,700 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,031
N/A
N/A
$34,598
Settled
No
kalshi

7,710 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,986
N/A
N/A
$5,325
Settled
No
kalshi

7,720 or above

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,360
N/A
N/A
$6,509
Settled
No
kalshi

7,695 or above

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,440
N/A
N/A
$2,765
Settled
No
kalshi

7,715 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,397
N/A
N/A
$1,115
Settled
No
kalshi

7,740 or above

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,702
N/A
N/A
$1,294
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This event tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the exact close time, reflecting broader economic and market sentiment predictions.

Kalshi

All markets share the same core resolution mechanism: each resolves to 'Yes' if the S&P 500 index value at 4pm EDT on October 19, 2026 exceeds a specific threshold (e.g., 7574.9999, 7579.9999, etc.). Thresholds vary sequentially across markets, with each subsequent rule testing a higher value. All markets close on October 19, 2026, and expire either when the index value is first officially released or one week after the close date, whichever occurs sooner. The Exchange has applied modifications to the Source Agency and Underlying for index markets as per the Kalshi Rulebook, but these modifications do not alter the fundamental resolution criteria or timing outlined above. Outcomes are determined exclusively by the index's closing value at the specified time and date.