TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
kalshi

S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 3pm EDT?

Volume:
$98,387

7,700 or above

 - Kalshi

7,700 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,700 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$81,677
N/A
N/A
$79,411
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,685 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,072
N/A
N/A
$2,063
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,690 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,913
N/A
N/A
$1,289
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,695 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,649
N/A
N/A
$1,292
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,680 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$212
N/A
N/A
$210
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,675 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
$116
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,655 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
$112
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,660 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
$112
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,665 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
$112
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,670 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
$106
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,705 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,383
N/A
N/A
$2,881
Settled
No
kalshi

7,715 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,742
N/A
N/A
$1,273
Settled
No
kalshi

7,710 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,646
N/A
N/A
$2,581
Settled
No
kalshi

7,720 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
$127
Settled
No
kalshi

7,730 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
$65
Settled
No
kalshi

7,735 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
$65
Settled
No
kalshi

7,740 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
$64
Settled
No
kalshi

7,745 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
$64
Settled
No
kalshi

7,750 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
$64
Settled
No
kalshi

7,755 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
$64
Settled
No
kalshi

7,725 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
No
kalshi

7,760 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

7,575 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,580 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,585 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This event tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the exact closing moment, reflecting broader economic expectations and market sentiment.

Kalshi

All markets share a common resolution mechanism based on the S&P 500 index value at 3pm EDT on October 19, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold: if the index closes above the specified value (e.g., 7574.9999, 7579.9999, etc.), it resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' Markets close on October 19, 2026, and expiration occurs at the sooner of the first official data release or one week after that date. All markets adhere to modified source agency and underlying rules for indices as per the Kalshi Rulebook.