TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$245,601,049

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,405,322

408,349

Markets across

39,583

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,443

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?
kalshi

S&P price on Oct 19, 2026 at 11am EDT?

Volume:
$176,081

7,705 or above

 - Kalshi

7,705 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 11:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,705 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$46,213
N/A
N/A
$43,878
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,690 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,087
N/A
N/A
$1,128
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,700 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,166
N/A
N/A
$6,279
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,695 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,420
N/A
N/A
$1,813
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,685 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,119
N/A
N/A
$2,276
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,680 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,634
N/A
N/A
$1,308
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,675 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,461
N/A
N/A
$1,070
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,650 or above

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$293
N/A
N/A
$293
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,645 or above

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$245
N/A
N/A
$236
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,660 or above

View
100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$177
N/A
N/A
$139
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,635 or above

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$173
N/A
N/A
$170
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,670 or above

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
$138
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,665 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
$118
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,640 or above

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$108
N/A
N/A
$107
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,630 or above

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$74
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,655 or above

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
$43
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,625 or above

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
$42
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,620 or above

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
$38
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,710 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,353
N/A
N/A
$43,440
Settled
No
kalshi

7,715 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,328
N/A
N/A
$45,237
Settled
No
kalshi

7,720 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,551
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

7,725 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$815
N/A
N/A
$492
Settled
No
kalshi

7,800 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
$120
Settled
No
kalshi

7,730 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
No
kalshi

7,740 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
$64
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This event tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the specified moment, reflecting broader economic and market conditions anticipated over the next several years.

Kalshi

All markets share the same core resolution mechanism: each resolves to 'Yes' if the S&P 500 index value at 11am EDT on October 19, 2026 exceeds a specific threshold (e.g., 7574.9999, 7579.9999, etc.). Thresholds vary sequentially across markets, each representing a distinct price level. All markets close on October 19, 2026, and expire either when the index value is first officially released or one week after the specified date, whichever occurs first. The Exchange has applied modifications to the Source Agency and Underlying for index markets as detailed in the Kalshi Rulebook.