TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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S&P price on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
kalshi

S&P price on Oct 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Volume:
$177,984

7,730 or above

 - Kalshi

7,730 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,730 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,372
N/A
N/A
$935
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,740 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,748
N/A
N/A
$4,720
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,735 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,974
N/A
N/A
$2,690
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,725 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,746
N/A
N/A
$3,500
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,700 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,672
N/A
N/A
$3,905
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,650 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,005
N/A
N/A
$2,988
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,705 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,131
N/A
N/A
$1,288
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,710 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,075
N/A
N/A
$1,573
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,685 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,773
N/A
N/A
$608
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,695 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,632
N/A
N/A
$1,390
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,715 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,577
N/A
N/A
$983
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,680 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,228
N/A
N/A
$971
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,720 or above

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,159
N/A
N/A
$786
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,690 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,153
N/A
N/A
$607
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,630 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,020
N/A
N/A
$805
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,675 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$801
N/A
N/A
$786
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,665 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$496
N/A
N/A
$493
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,620 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$467
N/A
N/A
$467
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,625 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$442
N/A
N/A
$440
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,610 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$437
N/A
N/A
$437
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,615 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$432
N/A
N/A
$430
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,605 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$421
N/A
N/A
$421
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,600 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$417
N/A
N/A
$417
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,660 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
$255
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,655 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$236
N/A
N/A
$217
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 70

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the performance of a major stock market index on a specific future date. Each market represents a different threshold value that the index must exceed to settle as 'Yes'. These markets allow participants to speculate on the future direction of market trends based on precise numerical targets.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the end-of-day value of the S&P 500 index on October 15, 2026, measured at 4pm EDT. Each individual market has a unique threshold value; if the index closes above its respective threshold (specified as "X or above"), that market resolves to Yes. All markets close on October 15, 2026, and expire either when the index value is officially released or one week after the close date, whichever comes first. The Exchange has applied specific modifications to the Source Agency and Underlying for index markets as detailed in the Kalshi Rulebook.