TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$245,601,049

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,405,322

408,349

Markets across

39,583

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,443

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Financials
S&P price on Oct 12, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
kalshi

S&P price on Oct 12, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Volume:
$203,733

7,805 or above

 - Kalshi

7,805 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,805 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,604
N/A
N/A
$9,866
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,800 or above

100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,060
N/A
N/A
$5,304
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,790 or above

100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,148
N/A
N/A
$10,285
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,795 or above

100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,103
N/A
N/A
$4,364
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,775 or above

100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,009
N/A
N/A
$993
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,780 or above

100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$987
N/A
N/A
$399
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,785 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$353
N/A
N/A
$313
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,755 or above

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,765 or above

100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,810 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105,064
N/A
N/A
$89,465
Settled
No
kalshi

7,825 or above

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,507
N/A
N/A
$34,111
Settled
No
kalshi

7,815 or above

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,962
N/A
N/A
$3,568
Settled
No
kalshi

7,830 or above

0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,754
N/A
N/A
$2,431
Settled
No
kalshi

7,820 or above

0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,284
N/A
N/A
$1,904
Settled
No
kalshi

7,835 or above

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$699
N/A
N/A
$398
Settled
No
kalshi

7,840 or above

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$316
N/A
N/A
$239
Settled
No
kalshi

7,850 or above

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$191
N/A
N/A
$149
Settled
No
kalshi

7,845 or above

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
$104
Settled
No
kalshi

7,860 or above

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
$120
Settled
No
kalshi

7,855 or above

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
$116
Settled
No
kalshi

7,875 or above

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
$90
Settled
No
kalshi

7,880 or above

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
$82
Settled
No
kalshi

7,865 or above

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
$47
Settled
No
kalshi

7,885 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$29
Settled
No
kalshi

7,870 or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time. Each market has a different threshold value, allowing participants to bet on whether the index will surpass various levels by the specified deadline.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the S&P 500 index value at 4pm EDT on October 12, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the index closes above the respective threshold for each market (e.g., 7,600.9999, 7,605.9999, etc.). Each market closes on October 12, 2026, and expires either upon the first official release of the index data or one week after the close date, whichever comes first. The Exchange has applied specific modifications to the source agency and underlying assets for index-related markets as detailed in the Kalshi Rulebook.