TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$245,601,049

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,405,322

408,349

Markets across

39,583

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,443

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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S&P price on Oct 12, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
kalshi

S&P price on Oct 12, 2026 at 3pm EDT?

Volume:
$135,069

7,795 or above

 - Kalshi

7,795 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,795 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,465
N/A
N/A
$2,756
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,790 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,324
N/A
N/A
$1,324
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,785 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$618
N/A
N/A
$618
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,780 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$421
N/A
N/A
$421
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,775 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$403
N/A
N/A
$403
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,800 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82,923
N/A
N/A
$10,329
Settled
No
kalshi

7,805 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,738
N/A
N/A
$36,008
Settled
No
kalshi

7,810 or above

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,693
N/A
N/A
$2,691
Settled
No
kalshi

7,820 or above

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,178
N/A
N/A
$1,175
Settled
No
kalshi

7,825 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,105
N/A
N/A
$1,105
Settled
No
kalshi

7,815 or above

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$751
N/A
N/A
$719
Settled
No
kalshi

7,830 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$126
N/A
N/A
$124
Settled
No
kalshi

7,835 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
$74
Settled
No
kalshi

7,840 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

7,845 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

7,850 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
kalshi

7,855 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
No
kalshi

7,860 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
$37
Settled
No
kalshi

7,865 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

7,870 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

7,875 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

7,600 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,605 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,610 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,615 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This event tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the exact closing moment, reflecting broader economic and market sentiment predictions.

Kalshi

All markets share the same resolution criteria: the S&P 500 index value at 3pm EDT on October 12, 2026 determines outcomes. Each market has a unique threshold; if the index closes above the specified value (e.g., 7,599.9999 or higher for the first market), it resolves to 'Yes.' Markets close on October 12, 2026, and expiration occurs either when the index value is officially released or one week after the date, whichever comes first. All markets adhere to modified source agency and underlying rules for indices as per the Kalshi Rulebook.