TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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S&P price on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT?
kalshi

S&P price on Oct 12, 2026 at 1pm EDT?

Volume:
$176,417

7,800 or above

 - Kalshi

7,800 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 1:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,800 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,518
N/A
N/A
$11,220
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,795 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$686
N/A
N/A
$666
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,790 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$439
N/A
N/A
$439
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,810 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83,555
N/A
N/A
$4,055
Settled
No
kalshi

7,815 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,471
N/A
N/A
$36,089
Settled
No
kalshi

7,820 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,786
N/A
N/A
$19,003
Settled
No
kalshi

7,805 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,363
N/A
N/A
$1,509
Settled
No
kalshi

7,825 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,375
N/A
N/A
$2,309
Settled
No
kalshi

7,835 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$672
N/A
N/A
$672
Settled
No
kalshi

7,830 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$556
N/A
N/A
$556
Settled
No
kalshi

7,840 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$545
N/A
N/A
$543
Settled
No
kalshi

7,870 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
$213
Settled
No
kalshi

7,845 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
$96
Settled
No
kalshi

7,850 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
kalshi

7,855 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
kalshi

7,860 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
No
kalshi

7,865 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

7,875 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

7,880 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

7,600 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,605 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,610 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,615 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,620 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,625 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time. Each market represents a different threshold value that the index must exceed to settle as 'Yes'. Investors use these markets to speculate on or hedge against potential movements in the broader market.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the S&P 500 index value at 1pm EDT on October 12, 2026. Each individual market has a specific threshold: if the index closes above the stated threshold (e.g., 7,600.9999 or higher), that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets close on October 12, 2026, and expiration occurs at the sooner of the first official data release or one week after the close date. The Exchange has applied modifications to the Source Agency and Underlying for index markets per the Kalshi Rulebook, ensuring consistent data sourcing and validation processes across all thresholds.