TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$245,601,049

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,405,322

408,349

Markets across

39,583

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,443

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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S&P price on Oct 12, 2026 at 10am EDT?
kalshi

S&P price on Oct 12, 2026 at 10am EDT?

Volume:
$156,872

7,810 or above

 - Kalshi

7,810 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,810 or above

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,903
N/A
N/A
$38,245
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,800 or above

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,669
N/A
N/A
$7,989
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,805 or above

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,575
N/A
N/A
$6,814
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,780 or above

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,464
N/A
N/A
$2,437
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,795 or above

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,424
N/A
N/A
$2,390
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,790 or above

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,109
N/A
N/A
$2,109
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,755 or above

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,530
N/A
N/A
$1,506
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,770 or above

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$385
N/A
N/A
$362
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,775 or above

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
$91
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,760 or above

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$91
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,745 or above

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
$96
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,750 or above

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
$86
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,735 or above

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
$86
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,740 or above

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
$79
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,715 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
$68
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,765 or above

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
$46
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,785 or above

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$49
N/A
N/A
$47
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,720 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,725 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,730 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,815 or above

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,382
N/A
N/A
$33,350
Settled
No
kalshi

7,820 or above

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,171
N/A
N/A
$10,685
Settled
No
kalshi

7,830 or above

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,346
N/A
N/A
$3,425
Settled
No
kalshi

7,825 or above

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,906
N/A
N/A
$5,062
Settled
No
kalshi

7,860 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,306
N/A
N/A
$910
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This event tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the predetermined moment, reflecting broader economic expectations and market sentiment.

Kalshi

All markets share a common resolution mechanism based on the S&P 500 index value at 10am EDT on October 12, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold: if the index closes above a specific value (e.g., 7,600.9999 or higher), that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets close on October 12, 2026, and expire either when the index value is first officially released or one week after the specified date, whichever occurs first. The Exchange has applied modifications to the Source Agency and Underlying for index markets as per the Kalshi Rulebook.