TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the exact closing moment, reflecting broader economic expectations and market sentiment.
All markets share a common resolution mechanism based on the S&P 500 index value at 2pm EST on November 2, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, and if the index closes above that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Markets close on November 2, 2026, and expiration occurs at the sooner of the first official data release or one week after the closing date. All markets adhere to modified source agency and underlying rules specific to indices as outlined in the Kalshi Rulebook.