TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST?
kalshi

S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 12pm EST?

Volume:
$175,267

7,620 or above

 - Kalshi

7,620 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 2, 2026

Closed: Nov 2, 12:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

7,620 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,639
N/A
N/A
$5,791
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,615 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,895
N/A
N/A
$3,882
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,610 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,335
N/A
N/A
$1,335
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,605 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$546
N/A
N/A
$545
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,630 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,554
N/A
N/A
$41,522
Settled
No
kalshi

7,625 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,621
N/A
N/A
$41,910
Settled
No
kalshi

7,635 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,933
N/A
N/A
$21,778
Settled
No
kalshi

7,640 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,925
N/A
N/A
$15,979
Settled
No
kalshi

7,645 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,406
N/A
N/A
$4,341
Settled
No
kalshi

7,650 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,534
N/A
N/A
$1,870
Settled
No
kalshi

7,670 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$589
N/A
N/A
$589
Settled
No
kalshi

7,675 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$189
N/A
N/A
$189
Settled
No
kalshi

7,660 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
$63
Settled
No
kalshi

7,655 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

7,665 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
No
kalshi

7,815 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
Settled
No
kalshi

7,820 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
Settled
No
kalshi

7,825 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$0
N/A
N/A
$0
Settled
No
kalshi

7,550 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,555 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,560 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,565 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,570 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,575 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7,580 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This event tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the predetermined moment, reflecting broader economic expectations and market sentiment.

Kalshi

All markets share the same event-level rules: each resolves based on whether the S&P 500 index value at 12pm EST on November 2, 2026 exceeds a specific threshold (e.g., 7549.9999, 7554.9999, etc.). Markets close on November 02, 2026, and expiration occurs at the sooner of the first official data release or one week after that date. All markets adhere to modified source agency and underlying rules for indices as specified in the Kalshi Rulebook.