TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 11:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a major stock market index at a specific future date and time, allowing participants to speculate on whether the index will surpass certain thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the index's value at the specified moment, reflecting broader economic and market conditions expected by that time.
All markets share the same event-level rules: each resolves based on whether the S&P 500 index value at 11am EST on November 2, 2026 exceeds a specific threshold defined in the individual market's primary rule. Markets close on November 02, 2026, and expiration occurs at the sooner of the first official data release or one week after that date. All markets utilize modified source agency and underlying rules for indices as per the Kalshi Rulebook.