What will be Darline Graham's vote percent in the South Carolina Republican Senate runoff?

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the certified percentage of votes Darline Graham receives in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate runoff, calculated as (votes for Darline Graham ÷ total valid votes) × 100. Each market has a distinct threshold ranging from 38% to 62%, and resolves to Yes only if the certified percentage falls within that specific inclusive range. Certification refers to official, final results—preliminary counts, projections, or unofficial tallies do not count. Write-in votes for Darline Graham are included if certified, while invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and denominator. If the election is canceled, postponed beyond the market expiration date, or no certified results are available by expiration, all markets resolve to No. Recounts that adjust the certified percentage before expiration use the most recent certified figure. Multiple voting rounds (e.g., ranked-choice voting) use the specified round or the first round if unspecified. All percentages are rounded to the precision indicated in each market’s parameters.